a large white building with a gold domed roof and a green lawn

politics

45%

J.D. Vance to Win 2028 Republican Presidential Nomination (45%)

Strong frontrunner in 128-option field at 45% - Vance emerging as clear GOP favorite is highly newsworthy political development

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Volume: $309.8M

Ends 11/7/2028

BREAKING

a close up of the flag of the country of iraq

geopolitics

69%

US to Strike Iran by June 2026 (69%)

Major geopolitical action - US strike on Iran at 69% is highly uncertain and time-sensitive breaking news with massive implications

Volume: $310.1M

Ends in 3 months

BREAKING

crypto

75%

Major Crypto Events to Unfold (75%)

Vague 'events as predicted' headline with minimal volume ($2K) - lacks specificity and newsworthiness

$2.4K

Ends in 2 weeks

HOT

sports

59%

Arsenal to Win Premier League Title (59%)

Arsenal as Premier League favorite at 59% in competitive 25-team race - uncertain outcome in major sports league

$240.9M

Ends in 2 months

HOT

the flag of the country of iraq flying in the sky

finance

95%

Trump to Reshape Fed Leadership by 2026; Tariff Policies Face Supreme Court Defeat

President Trump will nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair, a move expected to reshape monetary policy direction by the end of 2026 (95%). Meanwhile, the administration's tariff agenda faces significant legal headwinds, as the Supreme Court is expected to rule against Trump's tariff policies before December 2026 (75%). These twin developments will likely define the economic policy landscape heading into the final years of Trump's term.

$495.7M

Ends in 9 months

HOT

sports

36%

Oklahoma City Thunder to Win 2026 NBA Championship (36%)

Thunder as strong NBA championship favorite at 36% in 30-team field - dominant position, high volume sports story

$265.6M

Ends in 3 months

HOT

politics

50%

Global Elections 2026-2028: Seoul and Paris Set for New Leaders as US Race Remains Open

Park Chan-dae will become Incheon's next mayor in June 2026 (91%), while Chong Won-oh is set to take Seoul's top office the same month (78%). Emmanuel Grégoire is expected to win the Paris mayoral race by March 2026 (69%). Looking ahead to 2028, Democrats are slightly favored to reclaim the White House in November (55%), though the presidential field remains wide open with no clear frontrunner emerging (50%).

$303.9M

Ends 11/7/2028

HOT

a group of people standing outside a store

sports

52%

Real Madrid to Win La Liga (52%)

Real Madrid slight favorite at 52% for La Liga - genuine uncertainty in major football league title race

$91.2M

Ends in 2 months

HOT

the spanish flag is flying high in the sky

sports

17%

Spain to Win 2026 FIFA World Cup (17%)

Spain as World Cup favorite at 17% in 60-nation field - major global sporting event with significant lead

$163.7M

Ends in 4 months

red and white kanji text wall mounted signage

sports

19%

Arsenal to Win Champions League (19%)

Arsenal at 19% in 60-team Champions League field makes them clear favorite - prestigious competition

$231.1M

Ends in 2 months

HOT

people walking on street near white concrete building during daytime

politics

50%

Democratic 2028 Nomination Wide Open with No Clear Frontrunner (50%)

Wide-open 2028 Dem nomination with no frontrunner - massive volume, genuine uncertainty in major political race

$681.0M

Ends 11/7/2028

HOT

sports

50%

NBA MVP Race Wide Open with No Clear Frontrunner (50%)

NBA MVP race wide open at 50% across 33 options - competitive sports race with no clear leader

$35.1M

Ends in 2 months

flags on poles near green trees during daytime

politics

89%

Trump to Remain in Office Through 2026, China Visit by Spring

President Trump will remain in office through 2026, with no resignation (94%) or impeachment (87%) expected before year's end. Trump is set to visit China by April 30 (89%) and will likely meet with President Xi Jinping later in 2026 (95%). The Supreme Court is expected to issue a ruling on Trump's tariff policies by March 31 (69%), while efforts to acquire Greenland will not materialize before 2027 (89%).

$28.1M

Ends in 9 months

girl in white and black stripe shirt holding yellow and red plastic cup

politics

12%

María Corina Machado to Lead Venezuela by End of 2026 (12%)

María Corina Machado at 12% in 57-option field - underdog with potential for major political change in Venezuela

$46.8M

Ends in 9 months

a close up of a football on a black background

sports

22%

Colorado Avalanche to Win 2026 Stanley Cup (22%)

Avalanche at 22% in 32-team Stanley Cup race - clear NHL favorite with good volume

$31.3M

Ends in 3 months

finance

48%

Viking Therapeutics Acquisition Odds at Coin-Flip Before 2027 (48%)

Viking Therapeutics acquisition at coin-flip odds - corporate M&A uncertainty with decent volume

$16.2M

Ends in 9 months

politics

61%

Péter Magyar to Become Hungary's Next Prime Minister (61%)

Magyar leads Orbán (37%) in succession race, significant European political shift.

$18.6M

Ends in 3 weeks

a pile of bitcoins sitting on top of a red table

geopolitics

91%

Dutch Government Coalition Formation Remains Uncertain (91%)

Dutch coalition at 91% uncertain - ongoing political situation but high confidence of continued uncertainty

$61.0M

Ends in 7 months

politics

84%

Government Shutdown Won't Last 5 Days (84%)

Shutdown WON'T last 5 days at 84% - negative prediction about non-event

$16.7M

Ends in 2 weeks

a person holding a sign that says open business as new normal

finance

93%

Fed to Hold Rates Steady Through Spring 2026 as Warsh Nomination Looms

The Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady at its March meeting (93%) and maintain the pause through April (77%), following a cut-pause-pause pattern through the first quarter (93%). Kevin Warsh is expected to be formally nominated as the next Fed Chair by the end of February (86%), though current Chair Jerome Powell will remain in his position through at least May 2026 (94%). Looking ahead, the Fed will likely cut rates by June (77%) and bring them down to 3.25% or lower before 2027 (92%).

$140.5M

Ends in 1 day

geopolitics

61%

Russia-Ukraine War to Continue Through 2026 Without Ceasefire

The Russia-Ukraine conflict will persist without a ceasefire through at least the first half of 2026, with no diplomatic breakthrough expected by February 28 (99%) or March 31 (97%). Fighting is likely to continue through June 2026 (81%), with the war expected to extend through year-end without a formal ceasefire (61%). Ukraine will likely maintain its territorial stance, refusing to cede land to Russia before 2027 (72%).

$9.9M

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

60%

Playboi Carti to Drop Album Before GTA VI (60%)

Most informative non-obvious prediction at 60% - humorous comparison to long-awaited game

$17.5M

Ends in 4 months

crypto

100%

Bitcoin to Dip to $65,000 by End of 2026 (100%)

Bitcoin WILL dip to $65K at 100% certainty - already known outcome, no uncertainty

$18.3M

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

78%

Khamenei to Remain Iran's Supreme Leader Through March (78%)

Ranked by trading volume

$14.3M

Ends in 2 weeks

a bunch of different colored balls with flags on them

geopolitics

100%

Somalia to Be Next Country US Strikes (100%)

Somalia next US strike at 100% - already determined, no uncertainty remains

$13.7M

Ends in 9 months

culture

97%

Jesus Christ Won't Return Before 2027 (97%)

Jesus Christ WON'T return at 97% - absurd non-event prediction with no real news value

$29.1M

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

97%

U.S. Won't Invade Venezuela by March 2026 (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$13.6M

Ends in 2 weeks

culture

56%

Epstein Blackmail Evidence Won't Drop by March 31 (56%)

Ranked by trading volume

$11.0M

Ends in 2 weeks

geopolitics

61%

US-Israel Military Action Against Iran by Mid-2026 as Ceasefire Breaks Down

The fragile Israel-Iran ceasefire will collapse by June 2026 (67%), setting the stage for renewed hostilities in the region. Iran is expected to strike Israel before December 2026 (72%), while the United States will likely launch strikes against Iranian targets before Israel does (62%). Through February 2026, direct strikes on Tehran remain unlikely (80%), but military action by either the US or Israel is expected by March 2026 (61%).

$14.9M

Ends in 9 months

a pile of different bank notes laying on top of each other

tech

69%

MegaETH to Launch Above $800M Market Cap (69%)

Ranked by trading volume

$11.9M

Ends in 3 months

people walking near white concrete building during daytime

politics

99%

All Major World Leaders to Remain in Power Through 2026 (99%+)

Ranked by trading volume

$9.5M

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

90%

China Won't Invade Taiwan by End of 2026 (90%)

Ranked by trading volume

$9.0M

Ends in 9 months

sports

30%

George Russell to Win 2026 F1 Championship (30%)

Ranked by trading volume

$7.5M

Ends in 8 months

tech

89%

Zama to Launch Above $300M Valuation (89%)

Ranked by trading volume

$5.1M

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

83%

US Won't Acquire Greenland in 2026 (83%)

Ranked by trading volume

$8.3M

Ends in 9 months

culture

92%

Xi Jinping Won't Lose Power Before 2027 (92%)

Ranked by trading volume

$6.1M

Ends in 9 months

a group of people holding a protest sign

sports

79%

PSG to Win 2025-26 French Ligue 1 (79%)

Ranked by trading volume

$6.3M

Ends in 2 months

a computer chip is shown in front of a black background

tech

56%

US to See 5,000+ Measles Cases in 2026 (56%)

Ranked by trading volume

$6.7M

Ends in 9 months

Two flags flying in the wind on a sunny day

geopolitics

92.25%

Trump to Establish Gaza 'Board of Peace' by March 31 (92%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$282.8K

Ends in 2 weeks

a man holding a red and white kite on top of a tennis court

sports

51%

Oklahoma City Thunder to Win NBA Western Conference (51%)

Ranked by trading volume

$5.1M

Ends in 3 months

geopolitics

63%

Khamenei Won't Leave as Iran's Supreme Leader by June (63%)

Ranked by trading volume

$5.5M

Ends in 3 months

geopolitics

88%

Iranian Regime Won't Fall by March 31 (88%)

Ranked by trading volume

$5.0M

Ends in 2 weeks

tech

81%

Opinion Token to Launch Above $250M FDV (81%)

Ranked by trading volume

$5.1M

Ends 1/1/2028

Empty stadium seating with running track below

sports

97%

GTA VI Won't Release Before June 2026 (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$4.5M

Ends in 2 months

tech

99.95%

Trove Won't Reach $20M FDV Day After Launch (100%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$2.4M

Ends in 9 months

woman ride on teal bike watching poster at the street

culture

80%

Epstein Client List Won't Be Released by June 30 (80%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.8M

Ends in 3 months

a large group of people standing around each other

crypto

91%

Discord to IPO Before 2027 (91%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.8M

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

95%

Yoon Suk Yeol to Receive 30+ Years Prison Sentence (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.4M

Ends in 9 months

tech

99.95%

Fogo FDV to Exceed $300M One Day After Launch (100%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$4.1M

Ends in 9 months

assorted-colored flags waving in the wind

geopolitics

85%

Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Won't Break by March 2026 (85%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.9M

Ends in 3 months

tech

56%

Puffpaw FDV Won't Exceed $50M Day After Launch (56%)

Ranked by trading volume

$4.1M

Ends in 9 months

tech

69%

OpenSea Token to Launch Above $500M FDV (69%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.3M

Ends in 9 months

sports

New York Yankees to Win 2026 World Series (8%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.1M

Ends in 7 months

sports

Israel to Win Eurovision 2026 (9%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.4M

Ends in 2 months

politics

86%

Tim Walz Won't Resign by December 2026 (86%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.4M

Ends in 3 months

geopolitics

63%

US to Strike Somalia Next (63%)

Ranked by trading volume

$795.1K

Ends in 9 months

brown bear on green grass field during daytime

sports

70%

Nuggets to Beat Grizzlies (70%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.1M

Ends in 2 days

tech

56%

EdgeX to Launch Above $1B FDV (56%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.0M

Ends in 9 months

tech

89%

US Won't Confirm Alien Existence Before 2027 (89%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.1M

Ends in 9 months

politics

84%

Democrats to Win House in 2026 Midterms (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.1M

Ends in 7 months

tech

80%

Sentient to Launch Above $800M FDV (80%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.0M

Ends in 9 months

culture

100%

Zama Auction to Clear Between $0.04 and $0.05 (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.0M

Ends in 9 months

sports

54%

Bucks to Beat Mavericks (54%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.1M

Ends in 2 weeks

sports

50%

Scottie Scheffler to Win 2026 Masters (50%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.0M

Ends in 3 weeks

tech

66.5%

Trump Won't Flip the Bird Again in 2026 (67%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$29.7K

Ends in 9 months

crypto

73%

Trump and Machado to Share Nobel Peace Prize (73%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.5%)

$488.1K

Ends in 9 months

crypto

93.5%

Crypto Payment Cards Won't Hit $1.5B Volume by March 31 (94%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.5%)

$2.3K

Ends in 2 weeks

a person is playing a game on a yellow device

tech

94%

Space Public Sale to Exceed $16M in Commitments (94%)

Ranked by trading volume

$641.8K

Ends in 9 months

sports

95%

Bayern Munich to Win 2025-26 Bundesliga (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.8M

Ends in 2 months

geopolitics

92%

US Won't Strike Mexico by March 2026 (92%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.6M

Ends in 9 months

culture

90.5%

Ukraine to Advance Through Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final (91%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$17.7K

Ends in 1 month

sports

26%

Cleveland Cavaliers to Win NBA Eastern Conference (26%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.9M

Ends in 3 months

A young African American woman casting her ballot in 1964

politics

82%

Zhang Youxia Won't Be Sentenced to Prison Before 2027 (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$56.6K

Ends in 9 months

a yellow toy camera sitting on top of a table

crypto

83%

USD Stablecoins to Maintain 99%+ Market Share in 2026 (83%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$33.8K

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

94%

China Won't Face Coup Attempt Before 2027 (94%)

Ranked by trading volume

$97.4K

Ends in 9 months

crypto

81%

No Record Crypto Liquidation in 2026 (81%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$41.5K

Ends in 9 months

a group of people standing on top of a tennis court

sports

12%

Seattle Seahawks Lead Early 2027 NFL Championship Odds (12%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.9M

Ends in 11 months

crypto

67%

Ethereum Won't Reach $3,500 by End of 2026 (67%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.7M

Ends in 9 months

A yellow arcade machine sitting on top of a wooden floor

tech

100%

Fogo to Launch Token by March 31, 2026 (100%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$388.4K

Ends in 9 months

The russian flag waves against a blue sky.

geopolitics

86%

Kadyrov Won't Leave Chechen Leadership by March 2026 (86%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 1.0%)

$14.3K

Ends in 9 months

a close up of a typewriter with a paper on it

crypto

99.85000000000001%

John Harbaugh to Join New York Giants (100%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$145.1K

Ends in 1 month

a black and white photo with the letter g in it

crypto

99.95%

New York Giants Head Coach Search Concludes - All Major Candidates Eliminated (100%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$190.1K

Ends in 1 month

culture

93.5%

2026 Midterm Elections to Proceed as Scheduled (94%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$46.5K

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

88.5%

US Won't Clash Militarily With Denmark Before 2027 (89%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.5%)

$5.8K

Ends in 9 months

tech

99.65%

South Korea's Yoon to Be Sentenced to Prison Before 2027 (100%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$49.6K

Ends in 9 months

two people dressed up as clowns working on a laptop

culture

63%

Hurupay Public Sale Won't Reach $5M in Commitments (63%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.9M

Ends in 1 month

white concrete building under blue sky during daytime

politics

44%

2026 Midterms: Republican Senate, Democratic House to Split Congress (44%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.4M

Ends in 7 months

sports

86%

Inter to Win 2025-26 Serie A Title (86%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.5M

Ends in 2 months

tech

94%

No Human Moon Landing in 2026 (94%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.8M

Ends in 9 months

finance

96%

Elon Musk Won't Buy Ryanair (96%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.4M

Ends in 3 months

a pile of money sitting on top of a table

tech

97%

Based Token Won't Reach $500M FDV at Launch (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.4M

Ends in 9 months

a close up of a computer motherboard in the dark

tech

58%

Claude 5 Won't Release by April 30, 2026 (58%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.3M

Ends in 1 month

tech

59%

Google to Have Best AI Model by End of March (59%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.3M

Ends in 2 weeks

geopolitics

90%

Putin to Remain Russian President Through 2026 (90%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.4M

Ends in 9 months

crypto

97%

Putin Won't Meet Zelenskyy by March 31 (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.3M

Ends in 2 weeks

geopolitics

80%

AI Bubble Won't Burst by End of 2026 (80%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.0M

Ends in 9 months

a group of men standing next to each other

culture

90%

NVIDIA to Be World's Largest Company by March 31 (90%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.0M

Ends in 2 weeks

tech

71%

Infinex to Launch Above $200M FDV (71%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.7M

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

CDU Set to Dominate German State Elections in Early 2026 as Global Electoral Shifts Loom

Germany's CDU will sweep Baden-Württemberg on March 8th (93%) and is expected to take Rhineland-Palatinate on March 22nd (75%), signaling a conservative resurgence ahead of federal politics. In South America, Colombia's PH Party will likely secure the most Senate seats on March 8th (86%), while Slovenia's Democratic Party is poised to win their parliamentary election by March 31st (86%). Hungary's opposition TISZA Party is expected to unseat the ruling coalition by April 12th (63%), potentially reshaping EU dynamics.

$1.9M

Ends in 6 months

The spanish flag waves proudly against a blue sky.

tech

13%

SpaceX to Trade Under Ticker $STAR (13%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.9M

Ends 12/31/2027

a spanish flag flying in front of a building

tech

89%

SpaceX to Exceed $1 Trillion Market Cap at IPO (89%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.9M

Ends 12/31/2027

politics

97%

Macron Won't Leave Office by June 30, 2026 (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.8M

Ends in 3 months

brown and black basketball hoop under cloudy sky

sports

50%

Jeff Hafley to Be Named Miami Dolphins Head Coach (50%)

Ranked by trading volume

$55.3K

Ends in 1 month

A wooden block spelling crypt on a table

sports

63%

Golden State Warriors to Make NBA Playoffs (63%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.8M

Ends in 3 weeks

a large building with a fountain in front of it

politics

97%

Ilhan Omar Won't Resign by March 2026 (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.6M

Ends in 2 weeks

finance

73%

Silver Won't Hit $120 by End of June (73%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.7M

Ends in 3 months

geopolitics

75%

Zelenskyy Won't Leave Ukraine Presidency by End of 2026 (75%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.7M

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

88%

Israel and Syria Won't Normalize Relations by End of 2026 (88%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.7M

Ends in 9 months

a stack of newspapers sitting on top of a wooden table

sports

23%

Aston Villa to Win UEFA Europa League (23%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.7M

Ends in 2 months

tech

87%

Polymarket Won't Reach 90% Mindshare (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.6M

Ends in 2 weeks

sports

39%

Mercedes to Win 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship (39%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.4M

Ends in 8 months

a group of flags hanging from the side of a building

geopolitics

77%

Russia Won't Capture Lyman by March 2026 (77%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.5M

Ends in 9 months

politics

96%

X Won't Be Banned in UK by March 31 (96%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.2M

Ends in 2 weeks

politics

64%

Graham Platner to Win Maine Democratic Senate Primary (64%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.5M

Ends in 2 months

tech

91%

Seeker FDV to Exceed $100M One Day After Launch (91%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.1M

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

86%

Russia Won't Capture Rodynske by February 28 (86%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.3M

Ends in 2 weeks

a view of the surface of the moon from the surface of the moon

tech

97%

OpenAI IPO to Value Company Under $500B on First Day (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.4M

Ends in 9 months

tech

41%

2026 to Be Second-Hottest Year on Record (41%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.4M

Ends in 9 months

A group of people standing on top of a stage

culture

49%

8+ Major Earthquakes to Strike Worldwide by June 30 (49%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.0M

Ends in 3 months

culture

95%

Jeffrey Epstein Won't Be Confirmed Alive Before 2027 (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.2M

Ends in 9 months

Interior view of a tall building with pillars.

sports

100%

No Woman to Complete Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.2M

Ends in 9 months

A group of young men playing a game of basketball

sports

69%

MrBeast's Next Video to Get 35-40 Million Day-1 Views (69%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.1M

Ends in 2 weeks

culture

32%

Alphabet to Become World's Second-Largest Company by March (32%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.1M

Ends in 2 weeks

two flags flying in the wind with a blue sky in the background

culture

30%

Super Mario Galaxy Movie to Top 2026 Box Office (30%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.1M

Ends in 9 months

woman in bird costume stand during festival

culture

14%

Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner Tied for Next UK PM (14%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.0M

Ends in 9 months

sports

64%

Aston Villa to Finish in EPL Top 4 (64%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.0M

Ends in 2 months

a large brown bear laying on top of a lush green field

sports

67%

Victor Wembanyama to Win NBA Defensive Player of the Year (67%)

Ranked by trading volume

$985.2K

Ends in 3 months

politics

99%

Anutin Charnvirakul to Become Thailand's Next Prime Minister (99%)

Ranked by trading volume

$798.7K

Ends in 9 months

white concrete building with red and yellow flag on top under blue sky during daytime

crypto

60%

Based Prediction Market to Hit $1M Revenue Before 2027 (60%)

Ranked by trading volume

$17.5K

Ends in 9 months

culture

99%

MicroStrategy Won't Be Delisted from MSCI Index by March (99%)

Ranked by trading volume

$922.0K

Ends in 9 months

finance

100%

Oracle to Acquire TikTok (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$916.7K

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

83%

Iran Won't Close Strait of Hormuz by March 31 (83%)

Ranked by trading volume

$897.9K

Ends in 9 months

crypto

83%

Supreme Court Won't Accept Sports Betting Contract Case by July 2026 (83%)

Ranked by trading volume

$909.9K

Ends in 9 months

crypto

82%

MicroStrategy to Avoid Major Crisis (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$785.5K

Ends in 2 weeks

Crowd watching a performance with hands raised

culture

100%

Elon Musk Won't Post Fewer Than 100 Tweets in March 2026 (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$817.7K

Ends in 2 weeks

geopolitics

30%

Israel to Strike 4 Countries in 2026 (30%)

Ranked by trading volume

$875.9K

Ends in 9 months

finance

72%

Gold to Hit $5,500 by End of June (72%)

Ranked by trading volume

$821.4K

Ends in 3 months

geopolitics

86%

China-Taiwan Military Clash Won't Occur Before 2027 (86%)

Ranked by trading volume

$796.3K

Ends in 9 months

sports

81%

Cooper Flagg to Win NBA Rookie of the Year (81%)

Ranked by trading volume

$759.8K

Ends in 2 months

geopolitics

100%

Israel to Join Board of Peace (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$809.7K

Ends in 2 weeks

geopolitics

89%

US-Iran Nuclear Talks to Resume by March 31 (89%)

Ranked by trading volume

$630.6K

Ends in 2 weeks

tech

84%

USD.AI to Launch Above $150M Valuation (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$743.1K

Ends in 9 months

tech

50%

xAI Has 50-50 Chance of Having #1 AI Model by June (50%)

Ranked by trading volume

$583.8K

Ends in 3 months

A lime green nintendo ds is displayed open.

politics

67%

Delcy Rodríguez Won't Leave Venezuela Leadership by December 2026 (67%)

Ranked by trading volume

$463.8K

Ends in 9 months

tech

60%

Tempo to Launch Token by December 2026 (60%)

Ranked by trading volume

$691.1K

Ends in 9 months

A bunch of money sitting on top of a table

finance

80%

USA to Win Women's Ice Hockey Gold at 2026 Winter Olympics (80%)

Ranked by trading volume

$668.5K

Ends in 2 weeks

sports

69%

Lighter to Dip to $1 Before 2027 (69%)

Ranked by trading volume

$663.6K

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

62%

Russia to Enter Dopropillia by June 30 (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$490.9K

Ends in 3 months

tech

95%

Doge-1 Lunar Mission Won't Launch Before 2027 (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$504.3K

Ends in 9 months

an astronaut holding a flag in front of a full moon

tech

55%

Tria FDV to Exceed $200M One Day After Launch (55%)

Ranked by trading volume

$492.8K

Ends in 9 months

Large stadium crowd illuminated by lights with "2026" displayed.

culture

51%

John Ternus to Become Next Apple CEO (51%)

Ranked by trading volume

$617.4K

Ends in 9 months

sports

18%

Michigan to Win 2026 NCAA Tournament (18%)

Ranked by trading volume

$599.9K

Ends in 2 weeks

politics

60%

Republicans to Control Senate After 2026 Midterms (60%)

Ranked by trading volume

$572.6K

Ends in 7 months

tech

81%

Aztec to Launch Above $150M Valuation (81%)

Ranked by trading volume

$420.0K

Ends in 9 months

crypto

87%

Zcash Won't Hit $1000 by End of 2026 (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$182.1K

Ends in 9 months

A purple and blue background with the numbers 2055

tech

82%

Gensyn Won't Reach $600M Valuation at Launch (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$564.5K

Ends in 9 months

a skateboard and a basketball on the ground

sports

33%

Miami Heat to Win NBA Southeast Division (33%)

Ranked by trading volume

$563.8K

Ends in 3 weeks

geopolitics

94%

China Won't Blockade Taiwan by June 30 (94%)

Ranked by trading volume

$544.5K

Ends in 3 months

Three friends taking a selfie in a park.

finance

46%

No New James Bond to Be Announced (46%)

Ranked by trading volume

$550.9K

Ends in 3 months

geopolitics

87%

Iran Won't Agree to End Uranium Enrichment by March (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$558.9K

Ends in 2 weeks

tech

22%

Anthropic to Lead Race to 1500 on Chatbot Arena (22%)

Ranked by trading volume

$336.2K

Ends in 3 months

Street sign for democracy burning at night

politics

87%

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter Won't Be Charged (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$533.3K

Ends in 2 weeks

a close up of a typewriter with a paper reading edge computing

tech

97%

Bitway Public Sale Won't Reach $2M in Commitments (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$428.2K

Ends in 9 months

A flag flying in the wind on a cloudy day

geopolitics

84%

U.S. Won't Launch Anti-Cartel Ground Operation in Mexico by March 31 (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$352.7K

Ends in 2 weeks

geopolitics

62%

Major Global Events Won't Disrupt 2026 (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$332.5K

Ends in 9 months

A person holding a bunch of money in front of a calculator

finance

62%

Vertiv Holdings to Join S&P 500 by March 2026 (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$335.4K

Ends in 2 weeks

tech

65%

Space Token FDV to Exceed $5M at Launch (65%)

Ranked by trading volume

$398.7K

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

97%

Zelenskyy and Putin Won't Meet Before 2027 (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$500.6K

Ends in 9 months

a pyramid with some bitcoins coming out of it

politics

85%

Tim Walz Won't Face Charges in 2026 (85%)

Ranked by trading volume

$378.4K

Ends in 2 weeks

man in black and white long sleeve shirt and black pants sitting on green grass field

sports

61%

JB Bickerstaff to Win NBA Coach of the Year (61%)

Ranked by trading volume

$476.0K

Ends in 3 months

sports

26%

T1 to Win LCK 2026 Season Playoffs (26%)

Ranked by trading volume

$477.5K

Ends in 9 months

a group of people sitting around a table eating food

culture

99.95%

MrBeast's Next Video to Hit 70-80 Million Views in First Week (100%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$2.4M

Ends in 2 weeks

geopolitics

28%

Belgium to Lead European Nations in Palestine Recognition Push (28%)

Ranked by trading volume

$481.5K

Ends in 9 months

sports

53%

Manchester City to Finish Second in Premier League (53%)

Ranked by trading volume

$475.6K

Ends in 2 months

sports

68%

Tesla to Deliver Under 350,000 Vehicles in Q1 2026 (68%)

Ranked by trading volume

$477.4K

Ends in 2 weeks

crypto

94%

Anthropic Won't IPO by June 30, 2026 (94%)

Ranked by trading volume

$471.3K

Ends in 3 months

sports

62%

Nathan MacKinnon to Win NHL Hart Memorial Trophy (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$462.5K

Ends in 3 months

sports

28%

Cade Cunningham to Lead NBA in Assists Per Game (28%)

Ranked by trading volume

$469.0K

Ends in 3 weeks

Friends toasting drinks on a sunny rooftop patio.

culture

44%

Michael Carrick to Become Next Manchester United Manager (44%)

Ranked by trading volume

$414.7K

Ends in 9 months

green white and red flag on pole during daytime

geopolitics

66%

US-Iran Nuclear Deal Won't Happen by June 30 (66%)

Ranked by trading volume

$450.1K

Ends in 3 months

politics

30%

Steve Bannon to Be Confirmed as Epstein Island Visitor (30%)

Ranked by trading volume

$438.1K

Ends in 3 months

a close up of a door handle on a wooden door

sports

22%

Dricus Du Plessis to Be UFC Middleweight Champion at End of 2026 (22%)

Ranked by trading volume

$284.4K

Ends in 9 months

tech

47%

Morgan Stanley to Lead SpaceX IPO (47%)

Ranked by trading volume

$426.5K

Ends 12/31/2027

a view of the earth from the moon's surface

tech

72%

Artemis II to Launch by April 30 (72%)

Ranked by trading volume

$428.8K

Ends in 2 weeks

crypto

74%

Belgium to Win FIFA World Cup Group G (74%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.8K

Ends in 3 months

crypto

84%

Solana Won't Reach $240 by End of 2026 (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$400.3K

Ends in 9 months

sports

59%

Lakers to Win NBA Pacific Division (59%)

Ranked by trading volume

$406.3K

Ends in 3 weeks

sports

91%

Victor Wembanyama to Lead NBA in Blocks (91%)

Ranked by trading volume

$299.2K

Ends in 3 weeks

culture

87%

Foresee Public Sale to Raise Over $200K (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$271.5K

Ends in 9 months

sports

55%

Knicks to Win NBA Atlantic Division (55%)

Ranked by trading volume

$392.3K

Ends in 3 weeks

culture

99%

Maduro Capture Video Won't Be Proven Staged (99%)

Ranked by trading volume

$276.7K

Ends in 2 weeks

sports

74%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to Lead NBA in Scoring (74%)

Ranked by trading volume

$376.2K

Ends in 3 weeks

sports

48%

USA to Win 2026 World Baseball Classic (48%)

Ranked by trading volume

$378.8K

Ends in 1 day

tech

42%

Paramount to Acquire Warner Bros. (42%)

Ranked by trading volume

$353.0K

Ends 6/30/2027

Friends enjoying a rooftop gathering with music and drinks

culture

52%

World to See Exactly 1 Major Volcanic Eruption in 2026 (52%)

Ranked by trading volume

$362.1K

Ends 3/31/2027

man using video game control pad beside man using computer keyboard sitting and playing video games

sports

64%

Named Storm Won't Form Before Hurricane Season (64%)

Ranked by trading volume

$249.4K

Ends in 2 months

sports

40%

Petr Yan to Be UFC Bantamweight Champion by End of 2026 (40%)

Ranked by trading volume

$245.6K

Ends in 9 months

tech

75%

Solstice to Launch Above $50M Valuation (75%)

Ranked by trading volume

$342.8K

Ends in 9 months

a gold coin with a bitcoin printed on it

crypto

63%

Hyperliquid to Reach $46 by End of 2026 (63%)

Ranked by trading volume

$340.5K

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

58%

Netanyahu Won't Leave Office by End of 2026 (58%)

Ranked by trading volume

$356.2K

Ends in 9 months

culture

74%

Tim Cook Won't Leave as Apple CEO Before 2027 (74%)

Ranked by trading volume

$359.1K

Ends in 9 months

culture

87%

Gemini 3.5 to Release by June 30 (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$351.7K

Ends in 3 months

finance

18%

Gold Prices Show No Clear Direction for June Settlement (18%)

Ranked by trading volume

$242.9K

Ends in 3 months

Lisbon, Portugal 25th of April. The carnations revolution at Avenida da Liberdade. The one that stood for freedom

politics

14%

Rahm Emanuel to Announce Presidential Run Before 2027 (14%)

Ranked by trading volume

$325.9K

Ends in 9 months

finance

66%

Elon Musk to Become World's First Trillionaire Before 2027 (66%)

Ranked by trading volume

$328.2K

Ends in 9 months

sports

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu to Have Biggest 2026 Opening Weekend (3%)

Ranked by trading volume

$328.2K

Ends in 9 months

crypto

30%

Discord to IPO Under $15B Market Cap (30%)

Ranked by trading volume

$310.6K

Ends in 3 months

tech

81%

No Nuclear Weapon Detonation by December 2026 (81%)

Ranked by trading volume

$308.1K

Ends in 9 months

A flag flying in the wind next to power lines

geopolitics

89%

Foreign Intervention in Gaza Won't Happen by March 31 (89%)

Ranked by trading volume

$321.8K

Ends in 2 weeks

two gold bitcoins sitting next to each other

crypto

84%

Robinhood Won't Launch Prediction Market by March 31 (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$296.6K

Ends in 2 weeks

finance

34%

Silver to Settle Above $115 in June (34%)

Ranked by trading volume

$203.2K

Ends in 3 months

sports

31%

Karmine Corp to Win LEC 2026 Versus (31%)

Ranked by trading volume

$222.8K

Ends in 4 months

a man sitting in front of a laptop computer

tech

77%

Hurupay Won't Launch Above $10M Valuation (77%)

Ranked by trading volume

$190.9K

Ends in 9 months

tech

60%

Rainbow FDV to Exceed $70M Day After Launch (60%)

Ranked by trading volume

$190.0K

Ends in 9 months

tech

26%

SpaceX to Complete 7-8 Starship Launches to Space in 2026 (26%)

Ranked by trading volume

$219.6K

Ends in 9 months

sports

67%

Portugal to Win FIFA World Cup Group K (67%)

Ranked by trading volume

$11.3K

Ends in 3 months

sports

26%

Detroit Pistons Lead NBA Best Record Race (26%)

Ranked by trading volume

$279.5K

Ends in 3 weeks

culture

97%

Jerome Powell Won't Face Federal Charges by June (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$180.9K

Ends in 3 months

politics

94%

ICE Shooter Won't Be Fired or Resign by March 31 (94%)

Ranked by trading volume

$264.8K

Ends in 2 weeks

tech

100%

Elsa to Launch Above $100M FDV (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$178.1K

Ends in 9 months

sports

89%

Matthew Schaefer to Win NHL Calder Memorial Trophy (89%)

Ranked by trading volume

$256.3K

Ends in 3 months

politics

81%

Jack Antonoff to Attend Taylor Swift's Wedding (81%)

Ranked by trading volume

$208.1K

Ends in 9 months

a large room with a painting on the wall

politics

20%

DHS Shutdown to End Between March 12-15 (20%)

Ranked by trading volume

$259.3K

Ends in 2 weeks

tech

44%

SpaceX IPO to Value Company Above $2 Trillion (44%)

Ranked by trading volume

$193.4K

Ends 12/31/2027

the shadow of a person's hand holding a bitcoin

sports

73%

Stephen Curry to Lead NBA in Three-Pointers Made (73%)

Ranked by trading volume

$239.3K

Ends in 3 weeks

white red and green flags on white metal poles

geopolitics

78%

Ukraine Won't Schedule Peace Referendum by June 30 (78%)

Ranked by trading volume

$161.3K

Ends in 3 months

tech

73%

OpenSea to Launch Token by June 2026 (73%)

Ranked by trading volume

$246.7K

Ends in 9 months

crypto

58%

Xi Jinping Won't Meet Cheng Li-wun by June 30 (58%)

Ranked by trading volume

$163.9K

Ends in 3 months

crypto

95%

Penguin Won't List on Binance by March 31 (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$198.5K

Ends in 2 weeks

Young woman listening to music with headphones at desk

tech

77%

US Won't Enter Recession by End of 2026 (77%)

Ranked by trading volume

$232.7K

Ends in 10 months

crypto

50%

Klarna to Have Largest IPO Market Cap in 2026 (50%)

Ranked by trading volume

$166.9K

Ends in 9 months

Basketball hoop and net against a bright blue sky

sports

32%

Jannik Sinner to Win 2026 Men's French Open (32%)

Ranked by trading volume

$234.7K

Ends in 2 months

politics

87%

Claudio Tapia Won't Leave as AFA President by July 2026 (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$187.2K

Ends in 4 months

man in white shirt standing in front boxes during daytime

politics

59%

Mamdani to Freeze NYC Rents Before 2027 (59%)

Ranked by trading volume

$226.5K

Ends in 9 months

sports

34%

Connor McDavid to Win NHL Art Ross Trophy (34%)

Ranked by trading volume

$186.9K

Ends in 1 month

a bunch of flags that are flying in the air

sports

50%

No Clear NBA Clutch Player of the Year Frontrunner Emerges

Ranked by trading volume

$230.2K

Ends in 3 months

politics

82%

Byron Donalds to Win Florida GOP Governor Primary (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$224.3K

Ends in 5 months

sports

30%

Betis Eyes La Liga Top 4 Finish (30%)

Ranked by trading volume

$213.5K

Ends in 2 months

sports

52%

Cam Ward to Be First Pick in 2026 NFL Draft (52%)

Ranked by trading volume

$215.3K

Ends in 1 month

culture

95%

Cannabis Won't Be Rescheduled by March 31 (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$206.8K

Ends in 2 weeks

geopolitics

46%

Somaliland to Join Abraham Accords Before 2027 (46%)

Ranked by trading volume

$211.9K

Ends in 9 months

sports

26%

Nottingham Forest to Face Relegation Threat (26%)

Ranked by trading volume

$211.6K

Ends in 2 months

politics

93%

Kristi Noem Won't Leave DHS by March 31 (93%)

Ranked by trading volume

$135.5K

Ends in 2 weeks

a number of black and purple objects in a circle

culture

87%

Kanye West to Release Album in 2026 (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$137.0K

Ends in 9 months

tech

62%

Hyperlend to Launch Above $20M FDV (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$199.0K

Ends in 9 months

culture

96%

MrBeast Won't Hit 120 Billion Views by March 31 (96%)

Ranked by trading volume

$138.9K

Ends in 2 weeks

politics

82%

Alan Dershowitz to Be Named in Epstein Files by March 31 (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$182.3K

Ends in 2 weeks

a city street with a bike lane painted on it

tech

95%

Bitcoin Won't Replace SHA-256 Before 2027 (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$121.8K

Ends in 9 months

culture

71%

MrBeast to Hit 475 Million Subscribers by March 31 (71%)

Ranked by trading volume

$198.8K

Ends in 2 weeks

culture

78%

No One Will Be Jailed Over Epstein Disclosures (78%)

Ranked by trading volume

$198.6K

Ends in 9 months

politics

91%

Mamdani Won't Open City-Owned Grocery Store by June 30 (91%)

Ranked by trading volume

$193.5K

Ends in 3 months

sports

54%

Ana Paula Renault to Win Big Brother Brasil 26 (54%)

Ranked by trading volume

$122.5K

Ends in 1 month

a close up of a circuit board with many other electronic components

tech

53%

SoundHound AI Bankruptcy Risk Reaches 53%

Ranked by trading volume

$151.9K

Ends in 9 months

a group of people holding signs and flags

geopolitics

63%

U.S. to Engage Iran Militarily by March 2026 (63%)

Ranked by trading volume

$194.6K

Ends in 3 months

tech

50%

Google to Lead AI Model Rankings by June 2026 (50%)

Ranked by trading volume

$192.2K

Ends in 3 months

culture

71%

H100 GPU Rental Prices to Hit $2.50 by April (71%)

Ranked by trading volume

$153.8K

Ends in 1 month

sports

53%

Arsenal to Win Carabao Cup (53%)

Ranked by trading volume

$182.7K

Ends in 1 week

politics

90%

Erdoğan Won't Leave Power by End of 2026 (90%)

Ranked by trading volume

$185.5K

Ends in 9 months

politics

57%

Maduro Won't Face Prison Sentence (57%)

Ranked by trading volume

$145.4K

Ends 12/31/2027

sports

Buffalo Sabres Lead Eastern Conference Title Race (7%)

Ranked by trading volume

$184.0K

Ends in 3 months

geopolitics

62%

Abraham Accords Won't Expand by March 31 (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$147.2K

Ends in 2 weeks

sports

95%

Kylian Mbappé to Win La Liga Golden Boot (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$178.3K

Ends in 2 months

geopolitics

92%

US Won't Declare War on Iran by December 2026 (92%)

Ranked by trading volume

$169.4K

Ends in 9 months

sports

100%

Connor Spies to Get Engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$129.6K

Ends in 3 months

geopolitics

62%

US to Conduct Military Strike Despite 'Nothing Ever Happens' Narrative (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$171.8K

Ends in 2 weeks

A large building with a flag on top of it

politics

99%

South Korea's Kim Keon Hee to Be Sentenced to Prison by March (99%)

Ranked by trading volume

$153.1K

Ends in 2 weeks

sports

86%

Google Gemini to Score at Least 45% on Humanity's Last Exam (86%)

Ranked by trading volume

$170.7K

Ends in 2 weeks

finance

64%

Crude Oil to Hit $70 by June (64%)

Ranked by trading volume

$113.7K

Ends in 3 months

sports

61%

Deni Avdija to Win NBA Most Improved Player (61%)

Ranked by trading volume

$167.1K

Ends in 3 months

culture

78%

DeepSeek V4 to Release by March 31 (78%)

Ranked by trading volume

$125.2K

Ends in 2 weeks

tech

84%

Suez Canal Won't See 2K+ Container Ship Transits in H1 2026 (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$122.9K

Ends in 3 months

a man sitting at a desk working on a computer

tech

96%

Waymo to Launch in Miami by June 30 (96%)

Ranked by trading volume

$155.5K

Ends in 3 months

geopolitics

70%

Hezbollah Won't Strike Israel by March 31 (70%)

Ranked by trading volume

$155.9K

Ends in 2 weeks

a group of people standing on top of a metal fence

sports

85%

Southampton to Finish Last in Premier League (85%)

Ranked by trading volume

$155.7K

Ends in 2 months

woman sitting in front on table while painting

culture

90%

Major 7.0+ Earthquake to Strike by March 31 (90%)

Ranked by trading volume

$142.4K

Ends in 2 weeks

politics

16%

Bill Cassidy to Win Louisiana Republican Senate Primary (16%)

Ranked by trading volume

$150.4K

Ends in 2 months

sports

61%

Hoffenheim to Secure Bundesliga Top 4 Finish (61%)

Ranked by trading volume

$143.9K

Ends in 2 months

culture

82%

Don Lemon Won't Face Criminal Charges (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$140.5K

Ends in 2 weeks

politics

84%

Hong Wang to Win 2026 Fields Medal (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$142.2K

Ends in 4 months

tech

85%

Tesla-SpaceX Merger Won't Happen by June 30 (85%)

Ranked by trading volume

$80.3K

Ends in 3 months

culture

92%

No Major 9.0+ Earthquake Before 2027 (92%)

Ranked by trading volume

$136.9K

Ends in 9 months

tech

56%

SpaceX Won't Reach 200 Launches in 2026 (56%)

Ranked by trading volume

$93.7K

Ends in 9 months

a flag laying on the ground next to rocks

geopolitics

95%

EU Won't Dissolve Before 2027 (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$132.1K

Ends in 9 months

politics

88%

Vivek Ramaswamy to Win Ohio Governor Republican Primary (88%)

Ranked by trading volume

$103.6K

Ends in 1 month

finance

80%

ForecastEx to Self-Certify Sports Event Contracts by March 2026 (80%)

Ranked by trading volume

$125.8K

Ends in 2 weeks

Various national flags displayed on poles outdoors.

geopolitics

77%

US Won't Recognize Reza Pahlavi as Iran's Leader in 2026 (77%)

Ranked by trading volume

$97.0K

Ends in 9 months

culture

50%

Elon Musk to Remain World's Richest Person Through March 31 (50%)

Ranked by trading volume

$129.7K

Ends in 2 weeks

finance

58%

10-Year Treasury Yield to Hit 4.4% Before 2027 (58%)

Ranked by trading volume

$78.7K

Ends in 9 months

Crowd of people in a busy electronics store.

culture

93%

Timothée Chalamet Won't Be Confirmed as EsDeeKid by June 30 (93%)

Ranked by trading volume

$104.5K

Ends in 3 months

Protesters hold palestinian flags and signs.

geopolitics

13%

Syria to Recognize Israel by June 30 (13%)

Ranked by trading volume

$99.5K

Ends in 3 months

geopolitics

86%

Somaliland Won't Gain New Recognition by March 31 (86%)

Ranked by trading volume

$118.5K

Ends in 2 weeks

sports

68%

Petr Yan to Fight Merab Dvalishvili Next (68%)

Ranked by trading volume

$123.2K

Ends in 9 months

sports

59%

Tom Aspinall to Hold UFC Heavyweight Title Through 2026 (59%)

Ranked by trading volume

$89.6K

Ends in 9 months

a pile of gold coins sitting on top of a table

finance

70%

Atle Lie McGrath to Win Olympic Men's Slalom Gold (70%)

Ranked by trading volume

$100.2K

Ends in 2 weeks

politics

95%

Claudia Sheinbaum Won't Leave Mexico Presidency by June 30 (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$123.5K

Ends in 3 months

geopolitics

91%

US Won't Experience Civil War Before 2027 (91%)

Ranked by trading volume

$98.7K

Ends in 9 months

sports

39%

Drew Allar to Be Second Pick in 2026 NFL Draft (39%)

Ranked by trading volume

$79.1K

Ends in 1 month

sports

77%

Napoli to Secure Top 4 Serie A Finish (77%)

Ranked by trading volume

$119.0K

Ends in 2 months

culture

85%

No New Pandemic in 2026 (85%)

Ranked by trading volume

$89.4K

Ends in 9 months

politics

38%

Burt Jones to Win Georgia Governor Republican Primary (38%)

Ranked by trading volume

$83.1K

Ends in 2 months

tech

98%

No Megaton Meteor Strike in 2026 (98%)

Ranked by trading volume

$82.2K

Ends in 9 months

an orange and black basketball on a yellow and green background

sports

17%

Elena Rybakina to Win 2026 Women's Wimbledon (17%)

Ranked by trading volume

$62.0K

Ends in 3 months

geopolitics

52%

Iranian Regime Won't Survive U.S. Military Strikes (52%)

Ranked by trading volume

$61.1K

Ends in 3 months

crypto

78%

Hyperliquid Won't Reach $200M Buybacks in Q1 (78%)

Ranked by trading volume

$100.7K

Ends in 2 weeks

culture

72%

Cloudflare to Suffer Critical Incident by June 2026 (72%)

Ranked by trading volume

$74.2K

Ends in 3 months

tech

62%

GPT-5.3 to Launch by February 28 (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$107.6K

Ends in 2 weeks

geopolitics

96%

US Won't Withdraw from NATO Before 2027 (96%)

Ranked by trading volume

$98.3K

Ends in 9 months

geopolitics

83%

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Ranked by trading volume

$99.6K

Ends in 2 weeks

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tech

60%

Bitway to Launch Above $50M Valuation (60%)

Ranked by trading volume

$70.9K

Ends in 9 months

politics

54%

Raja Krishnamoorthi to Win Illinois Democratic Senate Primary (54%)

Ranked by trading volume

$99.9K

Ends in 13 hours

geopolitics

68%

US Won't Give Ukraine Security Guarantee by June 30 (68%)

Ranked by trading volume

$78.0K

Ends in 9 months

culture

100%

Grok 4.20 Won't Launch Before February 2026 (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$66.1K

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tech

59%

OpenAI IPO to Close Above $1 Trillion Market Cap (59%)

Ranked by trading volume

$95.3K

Ends 12/31/2027

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culture

37%

Taylor Swift to Top Billboard's 2026 Artist Rankings (37%)

Ranked by trading volume

$77.8K

Ends in 9 months

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geopolitics

92%

Russia Won't Enter Khatnie by February 28 (92%)

Ranked by trading volume

$57.6K

Ends in 2 weeks

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politics

72%

FBI Top Ten Fugitive to Be Captured by June 2026 (72%)

Ranked by trading volume

$51.8K

Ends in 3 months

finance

40%

India's 2026 Inflation to Reach at Least 4.5% (40%)

Ranked by trading volume

$54.3K

Ends in 10 months

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sports

40%

Carlos Alcaraz to Win 2026 Men's Wimbledon (40%)

Ranked by trading volume

$24.3K

Ends in 3 months

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culture

96%

Tim Cook to Remain Apple CEO Through March 31 (96%)

Ranked by trading volume

$89.3K

Ends in 2 weeks

politics

72%

Maduro Won't Be Found Guilty on All Counts (72%)

Ranked by trading volume

$92.6K

Ends 12/31/2027

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politics

68%

Magdalena Andersson to Become Sweden's Next Prime Minister (68%)

Ranked by trading volume

$52.3K

Ends in 6 months

culture

100%

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Ranked by trading volume

$93.8K

Ends in 9 months

sports

20%

Manchester City to Win 2025-26 FA Cup (20%)

Ranked by trading volume

$49.2K

Ends in 2 months

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culture

82%

Mark Zuckerberg to Be 3rd Richest Person on March 31 (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$87.1K

Ends in 2 weeks

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politics

88%

Alexander Vindman to Win Florida Democratic Senate Primary (88%)

Ranked by trading volume

$85.9K

Ends in 5 months

politics

76%

Ethan Corson to Win Kansas Governor Democratic Primary (76%)

Ranked by trading volume

$49.8K

Ends in 4 months

sports

76%

Brazil to Win World Cup Group C (76%)

Ranked by trading volume

$45.2K

Ends in 3 months

sports

50%

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Ranked by trading volume

$44.3K

Ends in 1 month

tech

56%

AI Model to Reach Chatbot Arena Score of 1550 by December (56%)

Ranked by trading volume

$47.3K

Ends in 9 months

politics

94%

Gambling Loss Deduction Cap Won't Be Repealed by March 31 (94%)

Ranked by trading volume

$83.2K

Ends in 2 weeks

geopolitics

55%

Iran's Pezeshkian Won't Be Ousted by Year End (55%)

Ranked by trading volume

$75.6K

Ends in 9 months

politics

66%

Thailand Won't Choose New Prime Minister by March 31 (66%)

Ranked by trading volume

$50.6K

Ends in 2 weeks

geopolitics

86%

US Won't Conduct Cyberattack on Iran by March 31 (86%)

Ranked by trading volume

$74.2K

Ends in 2 weeks

finance

69%

Silver to Reach $90 by End of June 2026 (69%)

Ranked by trading volume

$67.3K

Ends in 3 months

culture

80%

No US Bank Failure by March 31 (80%)

Ranked by trading volume

$24.3K

Ends in 2 weeks

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finance

84%

Tesla-xAI Merger Won't Be Announced by June 30 (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$24.4K

Ends in 3 months

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geopolitics

52%

Elon Musk to Win Legal Case Against Sam Altman (52%)

Ranked by trading volume

$52.6K

Ends in 9 months

tech

69%

Market Set to Hit $10 (69%)

Ranked by trading volume

$34.2K

Ends in 9 months

finance

68%

S&P 500 to Gain at Least 2% in Single Day During Q1 (68%)

Ranked by trading volume

$55.6K

Ends in 2 weeks

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crypto

82%

Aster to Dip Below $0.40 in 2026 (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$38.3K

Ends in 9 months

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New York Yankees to Win 2026 World Series (8%)

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Crypto Payment Cards Won't Hit $1.5B Volume by March 31 (94%)

Space Public Sale to Exceed $16M in Commitments (94%)

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US Won't Strike Mexico by March 2026 (92%)

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